Carefully Eyeing the 4 Major Post-2015 Processes
This fall, CIC will ramp up its post-2015 development program to closely follow and support the various political processes that will decide the global development agenda that begins in 2015.
As CIC Fellow Alex Evans has noted before in his Quadruple or Quits report, next year will see the culmination of four major political processes, the outcomes of which will shape the world’s development landscape going forward:
• In July 2015, the Third International Conference on Financing for Development will take place in Addis Ababa.
• In September 2015, UN member states will agree to development goals at a summit for heads of state.
• In December of that year, the UNFCCC Conference of Parties will convene in Paris to agree to a climate treaty.
• Also in December, the WTO will hold a ministerial-level conference.
CIC’s staff and fellows will support the post-2015 process by providing policy briefs, conducting research on political issues that are key to the negotiations, and convening informal dialogues to facilitate the formal processes. David Steven and Alex Evans will also update their What Happens Now? series, which maps the negotiations on the road to a post-2015 development agenda and discusses the political deals that will have to be made.
In particular our team will be paying close attention to the three challenges and three facts that CIC Associate Director Sarah Hearn detailed over at The Broker.
Challenge 1: The political vision at the heart of the post-2015 framework still needs to be clarified and sold. The political vision of the MDGs was much clearer. For this agenda to work, leaders need to figure out the current vision and sell it to their constituencies, both at home and abroad.
Challenge 2: Negotiators need to secure a political deal based on enough wins for enough constituencies. The asks and offers from various groups such as low- and middle-income countries are not clear. Clarity from these constituencies will be crucial to making the framework feasible.
Challenge 3: Resources need to match ambition if paper commitments are to translate into action. The new global partnership for development must recognize that aid is only one part of the post-2015 puzzle. Trade, climate finance, private sector investment, and migration are other key pieces. The four political processes described above will play an important role in how these various pieces come together.
Fact 1: Leaving no one behind will require reaching people in conflict-affected countries by helping to prevent conflict and to build institutions. We’ve calculated that by 2030, roughly 20% of the world’s population could live in conflict-affected states, many in Sub-Saharan Africa. Negotiators must be aware of the priorities of conflict-affected states.
Fact 2: Translating commitments into achievements will require job creation. Sustainable job creation will be needed to meet a labor supply of 3.5 billion people by 2030. Negotiators should engage the private sector on this issue.
Fact 3: Data need to improve dramatically. Many countries lack adequate data to measure progress on goals. We need more systematic and transparent data collection for the post-2015 agenda to make a difference.
Stayed tuned to CIC’s website and Twitter feed for up-to-date analysis on these issues as the post-2015 process moves along.